March 31st, 2026
The first quarter was marked by significant volatility, driven by a number of factors, which we foreshadowed in both January’s Annual Investment Outlook and a recent market update email. These historical and current factors, which, in our opinion, have negatively impacted equity, fixed-income, and real-estate markets for the short term, include the following: 1) Ongoing uncertainty […]
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January 15th, 2026
Colliding economic policies. Positive equity returns in 2025. More to come? “The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator. This means … that he should be able to justify every purchase he makes and each price he pays by impersonal, objective reasoning that satisfies him that he is getting […]
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October 25th, 2025
“In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable.” Robert Arnott Reasonable gains were achieved across all of our strategies in the third quarter despite crosscurrents from tariffs, uncertainty about the number of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, a weakening labor market, and continued geopolitical strife. Growing corporate earnings, modest increases in inflation, largely caused by […]
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June 30th, 2025
“The first rule of compounding is to never interrupt it unnecessarily.” Charlie Munger Looking back at the first quarter, we endured a 4.3% decline in the S&P 500®, driven largely by a significant drop in the Magnificent Seven (which saw an average decline of 15.7% among the seven companies). Value stocks significantly outpaced growth shares. […]
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April 28th, 2025
“Maturity is the capacity to endure uncertainty”’ John Huston Finley Our January Investment Outlook suggested we could face “unusual uncertainty” stemming from the Trump Presidency as 2025 unfolded. This prediction appears to have been accurate. The situation is unusual because politicians rarely deliver on campaign promises, in our opinion. However, President Trump is actively pursuing […]
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